2026 General Election · California's 3rd Congressional District

Ami Bera (D — Incumbent) vs. Robb Tucker (R — Challenger)

November 3, 2026

Presented by Indivisible El Dorado · Prepared: June 29, 2026, 9:30 AM PDT

Sources: FEC, OpenSecrets, Legis1, RobbTucker.com, Wikipedia, CalMatters, Cook Political Report, The Union, YubaNet, BallotReady

District Context

The redrawn CA-3 (Prop. 50) spans all of Nevada County plus portions of Placer, El Dorado, and Sacramento counties—Folsom, Rancho Cordova, Carmichael, Auburn, Granite Bay, South Lake Tahoe, and more. The district shifted from Trump+4 to Harris+10 after redistricting. 55% of the new district was previously Kiley’s (CA-3); 34% was Bera’s (CA-6). Race rating: Safe Democratic—Bera is heavily favored, but Tucker has unified the full Republican Party apparatus behind him.

Ami Bera (Democrat · Incumbent) · www.beraforcongress.com · Robb Tucker (Republican · Challenger) · robbtucker.com

Background
Ami BeraDemocrat · IncumbentRobb TuckerRepublican · Challenger
  • Born March 2, 1965, Los Angeles; Indian American; B.S. UC Irvine 1987; M.D. UC Irvine 1991
  • Physician; Sacramento County Chief Medical Officer (1999–2004); Clinical Professor & Dean of Admissions, UC Davis School of Medicine
  • Seven-term U.S. House member (2013–present); formerly represented CA-7 then CA-6; moved to CA-3 following Prop. 50
  • Sits on House Foreign Affairs Committee and House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence
  • Helped 34,000+ constituents; returned $22M+ to local taxpayers through casework
  • Member: Problem Solvers Caucus; co-sponsored 72 Republican bills alongside 176 Democratic ones
  • Approximately $1.9M cash on hand heading into the primary
  • Born and raised in South Nevada County; lifelong district resident
  • Grandson and son of retired USAF pilots who flew in WWII, Korea, and Vietnam; holds a Commercial Pilot License (multi-engine, instrument rated)
  • B.S. Business Administration, Pepperdine University; M.A., Wheaton College Graduate School
  • President/CEO, Forest Springs Mobilehome Community (family business, sold 2020)
  • Nevada County Board of Supervisors, District 2 — elected 2024; current incumbent Supervisor
  • First-time candidate for federal office
  • Lives on acreage in South Nevada County with wife Kristy and three teenage children
Key Priorities
Ami BeraDemocrat · IncumbentRobb TuckerRepublican · Challenger
  • Healthcare: expand and protect the ACA; lower prescription drug costs; protect Medicaid and Medicare
  • Clean energy infrastructure investment and good-paying jobs
  • Reproductive rights: protect abortion access
  • Private-public partnerships for community investment
  • Foreign affairs and intelligence oversight (Committee roles)
  • US-Japan-ROK Trilateral Cooperation and China education exchange oversight (authored legislation)
  • Bipartisan deal-making: Problem Solvers Caucus approach to governing
  • Constituent casework delivery as a core measure of performance
  • Public safety: protect 2nd Amendment rights; oppose California gun restrictions
  • Border security and immigration enforcement: stop illegal crossings; support Trump’s enforcement agenda
  • Fiscal responsibility: no new taxes; oppose wasteful federal spending; Prop. 13 protection
  • Federal forest management: streamline safety project permitting; partner with timber industry for active forest management
  • Small business support and job creation
  • Oppose Sacramento & Washington overreach into local communities
  • Hold Newsom and California Democrats accountable for failed policies
  • Support for agriculture and rural communities
  • Secure Rural Schools Act funding for rural education
Key Endorsements
Ami BeraDemocrat · IncumbentRobb TuckerRepublican · Challenger
  • DCCC Frontline Program (incumbent protection & general election infrastructure)
  • California Democratic Party
  • House Democratic leadership and caucus
  • Corporate PAC network: Fox Corporation, Comcast, AT&T, Google, Walmart (per OpenSecrets)
  • Health and pharmaceutical industry PACs
  • House Majority PAC independent expenditure support expected
  • Problem Solvers Caucus affiliated business community donors
  • California Republican Party (official statewide endorsement)
  • All four county Republican Central Committees in the district: Nevada, Placer, El Dorado, and Sacramento counties — unanimous
  • Rep. Kevin Kiley (I-CA6) — former district incumbent
  • Placer County Supervisors Shanti Landon and Bonnie Gore
  • State Sen. Roger Niello; Assemblyman James Gallagher; Assemblyman Joe Patterson
  • Board of Equalization Member Ted Gaines; Former Sacramento County Supervisor Sue Frost
  • Folsom City Vice Mayor Anna Rohrbough; Capitol Lincoln Club
  • Retired Sacramento County Sheriff John McGinness
  • NRCC support expected for general election
Advantages
Ami BeraDemocrat · IncumbentRobb TuckerRepublican · Challenger
  • District shifted from Trump+4 to Harris+10 after Prop. 50 — structural Democratic advantage
  • Dominant fundraising: $1.9M cash on hand vs. Tucker’s far more modest primary haul
  • 13-year incumbency: constituent services record, name recognition, and federal resource delivery ($22M+ returned)
  • DCCC Frontline full institutional support: staff, data, air cover, and voter contact
  • Doctor identity and healthcare record resonate in a district that includes suburbs sensitive to ACA and Medicaid
  • Bipartisan Problem Solvers brand shields against hyperpartisan attack in a swing-adjacent district
  • 34% of the new district was Bera’s prior constituency — existing voter relationship base
  • Truly homegrown: born, raised, and still living in Nevada County — an authentic district native vs. a seven-term Sacramento-area incumbent who moved into the district
  • Fully unified Republican Party behind him: all four county GOPs, the California Republican Party, Kiley, and a growing list of elected officials
  • Forest and rural land management platform is directly relevant to Nevada, El Dorado, and Placer county constituents
  • Anti-overreach message — “stand up to Sacramento” — plays well in the more conservative Gold Country and foothill communities
  • NRCC general election infrastructure and Congressional Leadership Fund independent spending likely to activate
  • First-time candidate energy and grassroots enthusiasm from a consolidated Republican base
  • The 55% of the district that was Kiley’s old territory trends Republican and will need to be reconverted
Vulnerabilities
Ami BeraDemocrat · IncumbentRobb TuckerRepublican · Challenger
  • Lived in Elk Grove — outside the new CA-3 district lines — residency criticism will stick in a foothill/Gold Country district
  • Corporate PAC donor roster (Fox, Comcast, AT&T, Google, Walmart, pharma) is a consistent attack target
  • Perceived political opportunism: switched from CA-6 to CA-3 after Prop. 50 redesigned both seats to his advantage
  • Seven-term incumbency now carries a “career politician” liability in an anti-establishment environment
  • Voted to praise Charlie Kirk — drew Sacramento Bee criticism; some bipartisan votes look like Republican accommodation to Democratic primary voters
  • Only 2% of his fundraising comes from small-dollar donors — vulnerable to grassroots “bought by big money” attacks
  • Harris+10 district structural disadvantage makes this a very steep climb regardless of candidate quality
  • No federal legislative record; only one year of Supervisor experience entering the race
  • Massive fundraising gap — trails Bera by millions in cash on hand
  • Platform heavily focused on conservative rural Nevada County values — may not translate to Folsom, Rancho Cordova, Carmichael, or Sacramento suburbs
  • Strong Trump alignment may be a liability in a district that swung 14 points toward Democrats with Prop. 50 redistricting
  • National Democratic environment in 2026 midterms expected to favor the out-party (Democrats), compounding the structural disadvantage
  • No name recognition outside Nevada County; introducing himself to 66% of the new district who never voted for him
Campaign & Major Donors
Ami BeraDemocrat · IncumbentRobb TuckerRepublican · Challenger
  • Cash on hand entering primary: approximately $1.9M (OpenSecrets / Legis1)
  • Donors include PACs from Fox Corporation, Comcast, AT&T, Google, Walmart
  • Health and pharmaceutical industry PAC contributions
  • DCCC Frontline institutional support; House Majority PAC coordination expected
  • 243 active lobbying relationships reflect breadth of corporate donor network (Legis1)
  • Fundraising machine built over 13 years of incumbency — widest cash-on-hand gap of any CA race in the series
  • Fundraising details not fully disclosed as of publication; significantly trails Bera in cash on hand
  • California Republican Party and all four county GOP committees provide organizational infrastructure
  • Small-dollar donor base from Nevada County business community and conservative grassroots
  • Endorsed Republican official network (Niello, Gallagher, Patterson, Gaines, Frost) provides donor referrals
  • Congressional Leadership Fund and NRCC independent expenditures expected to partially offset cash disadvantage
  • Mobilehome community business background provides local entrepreneur donor base
Foreign Policy
Ami BeraDemocrat · IncumbentRobb TuckerRepublican · Challenger
  • Sits on House Foreign Affairs Committee and House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence — one of the most active foreign policy roles of any member in this series
  • Authored US-Japan-ROK Trilateral Cooperation Act (formal inter-parliamentary dialogue with Japan & South Korea)
  • H.R. 6428: requires State Department reporting on educational exchange programs relative to China
  • Centrist Democrat foreign policy posture: supports alliances, U.S. global leadership, and measured engagement
  • No strong public break with Democratic leadership on Israel-Gaza or the Iran war as of publication
  • Intelligence Committee role means he is among the most briefed members on national security threats
  • Frames foreign policy through a “Peace Through Strength” and “America First” lens consistent with the Trump-era GOP
  • Supports strong national defense; military heritage (grandfather and father were USAF pilots in WWII, Korea, and Vietnam) informs his pro-military posture
  • Border security framed as an intertwined national security and foreign policy priority
  • Aligned with Republican mainstream on U.S.-Israel alliance and hawkish Iran posture
  • No detailed foreign policy platform published as of publication; focus is primarily on domestic and local district issues
  • Expected to support Trump administration foreign policy positions if elected

Presented by Indivisible El Dorado. For informational purposes only. Data drawn from public FEC filings, candidate websites, and reported news sources as of June 29, 2026. This document does not constitute an official endorsement.